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Performance track
Reasoning
Think clearly, decide well and explain why.
6 chapters39 minPractised in Reasoning Lab
What you will be able to do
You break problems down to fundamentals, surface hidden assumptions, avoid common thinking traps and estimate quickly with confidence.
Chapters
- 1First principlesFirst-principles thinking breaks a problem into its basic truths and rebuilds the solution from there, instead of copying what has always been done.7 min
- 2Surfacing assumptionsEvery argument rests on assumptions, and most errors hide there. Making assumptions explicit lets you test them before they cost you.6 min
- 3Thinking trapsPredictable biases distort judgement for everyone, experts included. Knowing the common traps and using simple counter-moves makes decisions more reliable.7 min
- 4EstimationQuick, structured estimates beat both guesses and paralysis. Breaking a quantity into parts you can estimate gives answers that are good enough to decide.6 min
- 5Thinking in probabilitiesFew real decisions are certain. Thinking in likelihoods rather than yes or no helps you weigh options honestly, update with new evidence and avoid overconfidence.7 min
- 6Pre-mortems and red teamsTeams often discover the flaws in a plan only after it fails. A pre-mortem imagines the failure in advance so the risks can be fixed while there is still time.6 min